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Journal of Heredity

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of Heredity's content profile, based on 35 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Genotype frequency dynamics in finite-sized, partially clonal population with mutation

Stoeckel, S.; Masson, J.-P.

2026-04-13 genetics 10.64898/2026.04.10.717696 medRxiv
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Most eukaryotes reproduce using partial clonality, for which appropriate population genetic models remain limited. This gap constrains our ability to accurately reconstruct past population dynamics, predict future trajectories, and infer the evolutionary processes involved. We present a Wright-Fisher-like model tailored for tracking the mean and the variance of genotype frequencies over generations at one locus with multiple alleles in a same finite-sized population with mutation. Different initial conditions and rates of clonality generate unique mean trajectories of genotype frequencies. Partially clonal populations converge to the same unique stable equilibrium as exclusively sexual populations, that only depends on the reciprocal mutation rates between alleles. The dynamics unfold in two phases: First, genotype frequencies move towards Hardy-Weinberg proportions; Then iterate along the Hardy-Weinberg proportions until reaching the stable equilibrium. Mean allele frequencies and gene diversity remain unchanged by different rates of clonality along the trajectories. Instead, clonality influences the speed at which populations return to Hardy-Weinberg proportions and thus shapes the temporal sequence of genotype frequency distributions over generations. Variance around each mean trajectory depends only on parental genotype frequency distributions and population size, not on clonality. Taken together, these explain why both negative and positive Fis values are expected in partially clonal populations, and why variance of Fis across loci is a reliable proxy for inferring clonal rates. Our model will enable the analysis and prediction of changes in genotype frequencies within monitored populations, and will support future inference methods relying on time-series genotyping data from a target population. HighlightsO_LIOut of equilibrium, sexual and clonal populations share the same two-step dynamics. C_LIO_LIFirst, return to Hardy-Weinberg parabola impacted by rates of clonality; Then, iteration along this parabola until reaching equilibrium that only depends on mutation rates C_LIO_LIIncreasing clonality change the speed and direction of mean dynamics out of Hardy-Weinberg parabola without affecting mean allele frequencies C_LIO_LIVariance around mean dynamics depends on parental genotype frequencies and population size but not affected by clonality C_LI Graphical abstract O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=98 SRC="FIGDIR/small/717696v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (13K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@3fe977org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1f8a38eorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@b9ebbaorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@231c67_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG

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bifrost: an R package for scalable inference of phylogenetic shifts in multivariate evolutionary dynamics

Berv, J. S.; Fox, N.; Thorstensen, M. J.; Lloyd-Laney, H.; Troyer, E. M.; Rivero-Vega, R. A.; Smith, S. A.; Friedman, M.; Fouhey, D. F.; Weeks, B. C.

2026-04-14 evolutionary biology 10.64898/2026.04.12.718036 medRxiv
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O_LIHigh-dimensional comparative datasets, including geometric morphometric landmarks, functional traits, and other large trait datasets, are increasingly common in biology. When these datasets include a large number of traits relative to the number of taxa, they pose significant challenges for phylogenetic comparative analysis. In addition, evolutionary dynamics are often heterogeneous across phylogenies, challenging researchers to develop tools that can localize and account for such variation when investigating hypotheses of evolutionary change. C_LIO_LIWe present bifrost, an R package for detecting and characterizing shifts in multivariate trait evolution across phylogenetic trees. bifrost implements a stepwise greedy search over alternative macroevolutionary regime configurations on a phylogeny. Candidate shifts are proposed and assessed at internal nodes, accelerated with parallel model fitting where possible, and aggregated sequentially when they exceed a user-defined information-criterion acceptance threshold. C_LIO_LIThe underlying model is a scalar-rate multivariate Brownian motion process fit by generalized least squares using mvMORPH::mvgls [1]. Our framework also provides support estimates for individual shifts using information-criterion weights. C_LIO_LIWe illustrate the workflow using a fossil-tip-dated phylogeny and high-dimensional landmark data for early bony fish jaws (32,508 scalar coordinate values), and discuss tuning, outputs, and limitations. bifrost extends existing phylogenetic comparative frameworks for evolutionary analysis and provides a scalable pipeline for exploring the phylogenetic natural history of large multivariate datasets. C_LI

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Phlag: Scalable detection of genomics regions with unexplained phylogenetic heterogeneity

Sapci, A. O. B.; Arasti, S.; Braun, E.; Mirarab, S.

2026-04-13 evolutionary biology 10.64898/2026.04.10.717778 medRxiv
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MotivationPhylogenetic analyses of entire genomes (phylogenomics) have revealed abundant heterogeneity of evolutionary histories. While much has been done to model this heterogeneity and to infer species trees despite it, the current toolkit has a limitation. Most methods assume that gene trees across the genome differ but are all sampled from the same distribution, defined by models such as the multi-species coalescent (MSC), and parametrized consistently across the genome. Empirical data strongly suggest this assumption is often violated because the species tree, its parameters, or the process generating the gene trees can all change across the genome. Errors in the data can further compound this heterogeneity. ResultsTo address this challenge, we define the problem of detecting what segments of the genome are inconsistent with a putative species tree, even after allowing discordance according to MSC. We model gene trees not as a set, but rather as a series (a realization of a stochastic process) along genomic positions. We propose a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) approach applied to quartet statistics measured from gene trees and tie the model to MSC using simulations. The combined use of these three ideas leads to a scalable method called Phlag. On simulated and real data, we show that Phlag can detect many cases of change in underlying evolutionary processes, including reduced recombination rates, population size changes, and admixture, all using the same algorithm. Availability and ImplementationPhlag is available at github.com/bo1929/phlag. All results and scripts can be found at github.com/bo1929/shared.phlag.

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Variation in Haemostasis and VTE Prophylaxis in Elective Adult Cranial Neurosurgery: A Global Survey of Perioperative Practice

Pandit, A. S.; Chaudri, T.; Chaudri, Z.; Vasilica, A. M.; Dhaliwal, J.; Sayar, Z.; Cohen, H.; Westwood, J. P.; Toma, A. K.

2026-04-16 surgery 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350905 medRxiv
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Background Venous thromboembolism (VTE) remains a major cause of perioperative morbidity in cranial neurosurgery, yet clinical practice varies widely, and formal guidelines are inconsistent. Understanding internationally sampled neurosurgical practice is essential for informing consensus and future trials. Methods An international, 2-stage cross-sectional, internet-based survey was conducted. Practising neurosurgeons performing elective adult cranial surgery were eligible. Descriptive statistics were used to summarise practice. Responses covered patterns of pre-operative haemostasis decision making, use and timing of mechanical and/or chemical prophylaxis, use of perioperative imaging prior to anticoagulation, and frequency of clinical assessment for VTE. Associations with geographical income status, subspecialty, and years post-certification were statistically tested. Practice heterogeneity was quantified and contextual influence was summarised using mean effect sizes across stratifying variables in order to determine domains of true equipoise. Results Of 585 responses, 456 (78%) met criteria for inclusion: representing 322 units across 78 countries (71% high-income). Thirteen per cent reported no departmental VTE plan; 23% followed no guidelines and 12% used multiple. Routine pre-operative testing almost universally included haemoglobin/platelets/haematocrit, with fibrinogen more common in high-income settings. Compared with high-income country respondents, low- and middle-income respondents reported higher haemoglobin transfusion thresholds (>90 g/dL; p<0.001) and shorter antiplatelet interruption (p[&le;]0.03), and less frequent outpatient VTE assessment (p<0.001). Mechanical prophylaxis was common (TEDs 81%, IPC 62%), typically started pre- or intra-operatively. Among those completing the chemoprophylaxis section (n=310), 57% required a CT or MRI scan before LMWH which was then initiated on average 31.4 hours after surgery. 1% of respondents did not routinely use LMWH. Many clinical decisions demonstrated statistical equipoise ie. high heterogeneity with low contextual influence. Conclusion Peri-operative haemostasis and VTE prophylaxis practices in adult elective cranial neurosurgery vary substantially worldwide, with some decisions reflecting geographical or socioeconomic differences and many others reflecting true clinical equipoise rather than contextual determinants. By mapping contemporary real-world practice across diverse health-system contexts, this study provides a necessary empirical foundation for rational trial design and future guideline development.

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Risk factors, outcomes, and predictors of therapeutic response in preterm infants with patent ductus arteriosus: A retrospective cohort study

Hamida, H. B.; El Ouaer, M.; Abdelmoula, S.; El Ghali, M.; Bizid, M.; Chamtouri, I.; Monastiri, K.

2026-04-17 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350668 medRxiv
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BackgroundPatent ductus arteriosus (PDA) is a common and potentially serious cardiovascular condition in preterm infants, particularly those with low gestational age and birth weight. Its management remains controversial due to variability in screening, diagnostic criteria, and treatment strategies. This study aimed to evaluate risk factors, outcomes, and management strategies for PDA in preterm infants, and to identify predictors of clinical and echocardiographic response to therapy. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study over a 4-year period (2016-2019) in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) of a tertiary care center. All consecutive preterm infants admitted during the study period were eligible. Infants with echocardiographically confirmed PDA who received pharmacological treatment with intravenous paracetamol or ibuprofen were included in the analysis. Missing data were minimal and handled using available-case analysis. Statistical analyses included descriptive statistics, Pearsons chi-square test, and multivariable logistic regression. ResultsAmong 2154 preterm infants admitted to the NICU, 60 were diagnosed with PDA (incidence : 2.8%). The mean gestational age was 29 {+/-} 2.6 weeks, and the median birth weight was 1200 g. Respiratory distress occurred in 95% of cases, mainly due to hyaline membrane disease (86.7%). PDA was symptomatic in 80% of infants. First-line treatment resulted in clinical improvement in 77% and ductal closure in 83.3% of cases, most within 3 days. Predictors of successful closure included gestational age [&ge;] 28 weeks (OR = 5.9; 95% CI : 1.7-20.2) and antenatal corticosteroid exposure (OR = 1.2; 95% CI : 1.0-1.6). Overall mortality was 35% and was significantly higher in infants < 28 weeks (OR = 5.0; 95% CI : 2.4-10.3). Clinical improvement (OR = 3.7) and echocardiographic closure (OR = 4.5) after first-line treatment were associated with reduced mortality. ConclusionsPDA in preterm infants is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality, particularly in those born before 28 weeks of gestation. Early diagnosis, antenatal corticosteroid exposure, and timely pharmacological treatment may improve outcomes. Systematic echocardiographic screening in high-risk neonates should be considered.

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Evaluating Large Language Models for Transparent Quality-of-Care Measurement in Children with ADHD

Bannett, Y.; Pillai, M.; Huang, T.; Luo, I.; Gunturkun, F.; Hernandez-Boussard, T.

2026-04-17 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.04.12.26350732 medRxiv
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ImportanceGuideline-concordant care for young children with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) includes recommending parent training in behavior management (PTBM) as first-line treatment. However, assessing guideline adherence through manual chart review is time-consuming and costly, limiting scalable and timely quality-of-care measurement. ObjectiveTo evaluate the accuracy and explainability of large language models (LLMs) in identifying PTBM recommendations in pediatric electronic health record (EHR) notes as a scalable alternative to manual chart review. Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis retrospective cohort study was conducted in a community-based pediatric healthcare network in California consisting of 27 primary care clinics. The study cohort included children aged 4-6 years with [&ge;] 2 primary care visits between 2020-2024 and ICD-10 diagnoses of ADHD or ADHD symptoms (n=542 patients). Clinical notes from the first ADHD-related visit were included. A stratified subset of 122 notes, including all cases with model disagreement, was manually annotated to assess model performance in identifying PTBM recommendations and rank model explanations. ExposuresAssessment and plan sections of clinical notes were analyzed using three generative large language models (Claude-3.5, GPT-4o, and LLaMA-3.3-70B) to identify the presence of PTBM recommendations and generate explanatory rationales and documentation evidence. Main Outcomes and MeasuresModel performance in identifying PTBM recommendations (measured by sensitivity, positive predictive value (PPV), and F1-score) and qualitative explainability ratings of model-generated rationales (based on the QUEST framework). ResultsAll three models demonstrated high performance compared to expert chart review. Claude-3.5 showed balanced performance (sensitivity=0.89, PPV=0.95, and F1-score=0.92) and ranked highest in explainability. LLaMA3.3-70B achieved sensitivity=0.91, PPV=0.89, and F1-score=0.90, ranking second for explainability. GPT-4o had the highest PPV [0.97] but lowest sensitivity [0.82], with an F1-score of 0.89 and the lowest explainability ranking. Based on classifications from the best-performing model, Claude-3.5, 26.4% (143/542) of patients had documented PTBM recommendations at their first ADHD-related visit. Conclusions and RelevanceLLMs can accurately extract guideline-concordant clinician recommendations for non-pharmacological ADHD treatment from unstructured clinical notes while providing clear explanations and supporting evidence. Evaluating model explainability as part of LLM implementation for medical chart review tasks can promote transparent and scalable solutions for quality-of-care measurement.

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Characteristics of individuals with cerebral palsy across the United States

Aravamuthan, B. R.; Bailes, A. F.; Baird, M.; Bjornson, K.; Bowen, I.; Bowman, A.; Boyer, E.; Gelineau-Morel, R.; Glader, L.; Gross, P.; Hall, S.; Hurvitz, E.; Kruer, M. C.; Larrew, T.; Marupudi, N.; McPhee, P.; Nichols, S.; Noritz, G.; Oleszek, J.; Ramsey, J.; Raskin, J.; Riordan, H.; Rocque, B.; Shah, M.; Shore, B.; Shrader, M. W.; Spence, D.; Stevenson, C.; Thomas, S. P.; Trost, J.; Wisniewski, S.

2026-04-16 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350870 medRxiv
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Objective Cerebral palsy (CP) affects approximately 1 million Americans and 18 million individuals worldwide, yet contemporary US epidemiologic data remains limited. We aimed to use Cerebral Palsy Research Network (CPRN) clinical registry to describe demographics and clinical characteristics of individuals with CP across the US and determine associations with gross motor function and genetic etiology. Methods Registry subjects were included if they had clinician-confirmed CP and prospectively entered data for Gross Motor Function Classification System (GMFCS) Level, gestational age, genetic etiology, CP distribution, and tone/movement types. Logistic regression was used to determine which of these variables plus race, sex, ethnicity, and age were associated with GMFCS level and genetic etiology. Results A total of 9,756 children and adults with CP from 22 CPRN sites met inclusion criteria. Participants were predominantly White (73.0%), male (57.3%), non-Hispanic (87.8%), and younger than 18 years (73.7%). Most were classified as GMFCS levels I-III (55.6%), born preterm (52.8%), had spasticity (83.8%), and had quadriplegia (41.9%); 12.2% were identified as having a genetic etiology. Tone/movement types, CP distribution, and gestational age were significantly associated with both GMFCS level and genetic etiology (p<0.001). Compared to White individuals, Black individuals were more likely to have greater gross motor impairment (p<0.001). Conclusion In this large US cohort, clinical and demographic factors, including race, were associated with gross motor function and genetic etiology in CP. These findings highlight persistent disparities and demonstrate the value of a national clinical registry for informing prognostication, quality improvement efforts, and targeted genetic testing strategies.

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Triage Administration of Ondansetron for Gastroenteritis in children; a randomized controlled trial

Weill, O.; Lucas, N.; Bailey, B.; Marquis, C.; Gravel, J.

2026-04-15 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350796 medRxiv
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Objectives: Acute gastroenteritis is a leading cause of pediatric emergency department (ED) visits. While ondansetron reduces vomiting, intravenous rehydration, and hospital admissions, its efficacy when initiated at triage remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate whether triage nurse-initiated administration of ondansetron in children with suspected gastroenteritis reduces the proportion of patients requiring observation following initial physician assessment. Methods: We conducted a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in a tertiary pediatric ED in Canada. Children aged 6 months to 17 years presenting with morae than 3 episodes of vomiting in the preceding 24 hours (including 1 within 2 hours of arrival), were eligible. At triage, we randomized participants to receive liquid ondansetron or a color- and taste-matched placebo. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients requiring observation after the first physician evaluation. Secondary outcomes included post-intervention vomiting, ED length of stay, patient comfort, and 48-hour return visits. The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03052361). Results: Recruitment was stopped prematurely due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Ninety-one participants were randomized to ondansetron (n= 44) or placebo (n= 47). Overall, 40 patients (45%) were discharged immediately after the initial physician assessment, with no difference between the ondansetron and placebo groups (44% vs. 45%; absolute difference -1%, 95% CI: -20% to 19%). No significant differences were observed in all secondary outcomes. Conclusion: In this trial, triage nurse-initiated ondansetron administration did not reduce the need for ED observation in children with presumed gastroenteritis. While being underpowered, this study could inform researchers planning larger clinical trials.

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Time to Discharge and Associated Factors Among Preterm Neonates Admitted to Kiwoko Hospital, Nakaseke District, Uganda: A Competing Risks Analysis

Mutibwa, S.; Wandiembe, S.; Mbonye, K.; Nsimbe, D.

2026-04-15 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350793 medRxiv
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Background: Preterm births contribute to approximately 35% of neonatal deaths globally, with an estimated 13.4 million infants born prematurely each year. Despite this substantial burden, limited evidence exists on time to discharge and its determinants among preterm neonates admitted to Neonatal Intensive Care Units (NICUs), particularly in rural Ugandan settings. This study aimed to investigate time to discharge and associated factors among preterm neonates admitted to Kiwoko Hospital in Nakaseke District, Uganda. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using secondary data from Kiwoko Hospital on preterm neonates admitted to the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) between 2020 and 2021 (n = 847). The cumulative incidence function was used to estimate the probability of discharge within 28 days of admission, accounting for competing events. A Fine and Gray sub-distribution hazard regression model was fitted to identify factors associated with time to discharge. Results: Of the 847 preterm admissions, 70.1% were discharged alive within 28 days. The median time to discharge was 14 days. The cumulative incidence of discharge by 28 days was 68%, accounting for competing events. During follow-up, 165 neonates did not complete the 28-day period, including 88 deaths. Factors significantly associated with time to discharge included place of delivery (SHR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.53-0.73; p<0.001), maternal residence in other districts (SHR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.48-0.99; p=0.044), extreme preterm (SHR: 0.05; 95% CI: 0.03-0.09; p<0.001), very preterm (SHR: 0.18; 95% CI: 0.14-0.25; p<0.001), moderate preterm (SHR: 0.59; 95% CI: 0.46-0.76; p<0.001), triplet births (SHR: 0.40; 95% CI: 0.23-0.68; p=0.001), 2-4 ANC visits (SHR: 0.70; 95% CI: 0.56-0.87; p=0.002), <=1 ANC visit (SHR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.49-0.85; p=0.002), respiratory distress syndrome (SHR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.48-0.74; p<0.001), and birth trauma (SHR: 2.62; 95% CI: 1.60-4.29; p<0.001). Conclusions: Respiratory distress syndrome, fewer antenatal care visits, out-of-district residence, and higher degrees of prematurity were associated with prolonged time to discharge among preterm neonates. Strengthening antenatal care utilization and improving access to quality neonatal care in underserved areas may enhance discharge outcomes.

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Understanding response to treatment in depression: Insights from the Pakistani DIVERGE study

Umar, M.; Hussain, F.; Khizar, B.; Khan, I.; Khan, F.; Cotic, M.; Chan, L.; Hussain, A.; Ali, M. N.; Gill, S. A.; Mustafa, A. B.; Dogar, I. A.; Nizami, A. T.; Haq, M. M. u.; Mufti, K.; Ansari, M. A.; Hussain, M. I.; Choudhary, S. T.; Maqsood, N.; Rasool, G.; Ali, H.; Ilyas, M.; Tariq, M.; Shafiq, S.; Khan, A. A.; Rashid, S.; Ahmad, H.; Bettani, K. U.; Khan, M. K.; Choudhary, A. R.; Mehdi, M.; Shakoor, A.; Mehmood, N.; Mufti, A. A.; Bhatia, M. R.; Ali, M.; Khan, M. A.; Alam, N.; Naqvi, S. Q.-i.-H.; Mughal, N.; Ilyas, N.; Channar, P.; Ijaz, P.; Din, A.; Agha, H.; Channa, S.; Ambreen, S.; Rehman,

2026-04-17 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350625 medRxiv
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BackgroundMajor depressive disorder (MDD), a leading cause of disability worldwide, exhibits substantial heterogeneity in treatment outcomes. Patients who do not respond to standard antidepressant therapy account for the majority of MDDs disease burden. Risk factors have been implicated in treatment response, including genes impacting on how antidepressants are metabolised. Yet, despite its clinical importance, risk factors for treatment-resistant depression (TRD) remain unexplored in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). We used data from the DIVERGE study on MDD to investigate the risk factors of TRD in Pakistan. MethodsDIVERGE is a genetic epidemiological study that recruited adult MDD patients ([&ge;]18 years) between Sep 27,2021 to Jun 30, 2025, from psychiatric care facilities across Pakistan. Detailed phenotypic information was collected by trained interviewers and blood samples taken. Infinium Global Diversity Array with Enhanced PGx-8 from Illumina was used for genotyping followed by DRAGEN calling to infer metaboliser phenotypes for Cytochrome P450 (CYP) enzyme genes. We defined TRD as minimal to no improvement after [&ge;]12 weeks of adherent antidepressant therapy. We conducted multi-level logistic regression to test the association of demographic, clinical and pharmacogenetic variables with TRD. FindingsAmong 3,677 eligible patients, polypharmacy was rampant; 86% were prescribed another psychotropic drug along with an antidepressant. Psychological therapies were uncommon (6%) while 49% of patients had previously visited to a religious leader/faith healer in relation to their mental health problems. TRD was experienced by 34% (95%CI: 32-36%) patients. The TRD group was characterised by more psychotic symptoms and suicidal behaviour (OR=1.39, 95%CI=1.04-1.84, p=0.02; OR=1.03, 95%CI=1.01-1.05, p=0.005). Social support (OR=0.55, 95%CI=0.44-0.69, p=1.4x10-7) and parents being first cousins (OR=0.81, 95%CI=0.69-0.96, p=0.01) were associated with lower odds of TRD. In 1,085 patients with CYP enzyme data, poor (OR=1.85, 95%CI=1.11-3.07, p=0.01) and ultra-rapid (OR=3.11, 95%CI=1.59-6.12, p=0.0009) metabolizers for CYP2C19 had increased risk of TRD compared with normal metabolisers. InterpretationThere was an excessive use of polypharmacy in the treatment of depression while psychological therapies were uncommon highlighting the need for more evidence-based practice. This first large study of MDD from Pakistan uncovered the importance of culture-specific forms of social support in preventing TRD, highlighting opportunities for interventions in low-income settings. Pharmacogenetic markers can be leveraged to predict TRD.

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Clinical and Genetic Evaluation of Suicide Death with and without Interpersonal Trauma Exposure

Monson, E. T.; Shabalin, A. A.; Diblasi, E.; Staley, M. J.; Kaufman, E. A.; Docherty, A. R.; Bakian, A. V.; Coon, H.; Keeshin, B. R.

2026-04-16 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350901 medRxiv
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Importance: Suicide is a leading cause of death in the United States with risk strongly influenced by Interpersonal trauma, contributing to treatment resistance and clinical complexity. Objective: To assess clinical and genetic factors in individuals who died from suicide, with and without interpersonal trauma exposure. Design: Individuals who died from suicide with and without trauma were compared in a retrospective case-case design. Prevalence of 19 broad clinical categories was assessed between groups. Results directed selection of 42 clinical subcategories, and 40 polygenic scores (PGS) for further assessment. Multivariable logistic regression models, adjusted for critical covariates and multiple tests, were formulated. Models were also stratified by age group (<26yo and >=26yo), sex, and age/sex. Setting: A population-based evaluation of comorbidity and polygenic scoring in two suicide death subgroups. Participants: A total of 8 738 Utah Suicide Mortality Research Study individuals (23.9% female, average age = 42.6 yo) who died from suicide were evaluated, divided into trauma (N = 1 091) and non-trauma exposed (N = 7 647) individuals. A subset of unrelated European genotyped individuals was also assessed in PGS analyses (Trauma N = 491; Non-trauma N = 3 233). Exposures: Trauma is here defined as interpersonal trauma exposure, including abuse, assault, and neglect from International Classification of Disease coding. Main Outcomes and Measures: Prevalence of comorbid clinical sub/categories and PGS enrichment in trauma versus non-trauma exposed suicide deaths. Results: Overall, trauma-exposed individuals died from suicide earlier (mean age of 38.1 yo versus 43.3 yo; P <0.0001) and were disproportionately female (38% versus 21%, OR = 3.3, CI = 2.9-3.8). Prevalence of asphyxiation and overdose methods, prior suicidality, psychiatric diagnoses, and substance use (OR range = 1.3-3.7) were elevated in trauma exposed individuals who died from suicide. Genetic PGS were also elevated in trauma-exposed individuals who died from suicide for depression, bipolar disorder, cannabis use, PTSD, insomnia, and schizophrenia (OR range = 1.1-1.4) with ADHD and opioid use showing uniquely elevated PGS in trauma exposed males (OR range = 1.2-1.4). Conclusions and Relevance: Results demonstrated multiple convergent lines of age- and sex-specific evidence differentiating trauma-exposed from non-trauma exposed suicide death. Such findings suggest unique biological backgrounds and may refine identification and treatment of this high-risk group.

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An independent supervisory safety agent improves reaction of large language models to suicidal ideation

Trivedi, S.; Simons, N. W.; Tyagi, A.; Ramaswamy, A.; Nadkarni, G. N.; Charney, A. W.

2026-04-15 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350757 medRxiv
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Background: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in mental health contexts, yet their detection of suicidal ideation is inconsistent, raising patient safety concerns. Objective: To evaluate whether an independent safety monitoring system improves detection of suicide risk compared with native LLM safeguards. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional evaluation using 224 paired suicide-related clinical vignettes presented in a single-turn format under two conditions (with and without structured clinical information). Native LLM safeguard responses were compared with an independent supervisory safety architecture with asynchronous monitoring. The primary outcome was detection of suicide risk requiring intervention. Results: The supervisory system detected suicide risk in 205 of 224 evaluations (91.5%) versus 41 of 224 (18.3%) for native LLM safeguards. Among 168 discordant evaluations, 166 favored the supervisory system and 2 favored the LLM (matched odds ratio {approx}83.0). Both systems detected risk in 39 evaluations, and neither in 17. Detection was highest in scenarios with explicit suicidal ideation and lower in more ambiguous presentations. Conclusions: Native LLM safeguards frequently failed to detect suicide risk in this structured evaluation. An independent monitoring approach substantially improved detection, supporting the role of external safety systems in high-risk mental health applications of LLMs.

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Strategies to enroll and retain low-income adolescent and young adult pregnant women in longitudinal studies: lessons learned from the AMOR project

Camara, S. M. A.; de Souza Barbosa, J. F.; Hipp, S.; Fernandes Macedo, S. G. G.; Sentell, T.; Bassani, D. G.; Domingues, M. R.; Pirkle, C. M.

2026-04-17 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350540 medRxiv
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BackgroundProspective studies of pregnant adolescents are essencial to effectively address this global health priority. They help answer vital questions about their health, but such studies are uncommon due to the difficulty in retaining adolescents. This paper describes the successes and challenges of the research strategies used to ensure sufficient recruitment and retention of pregnant adolescents in a longitudinal study about adolescent childbearing in an under-resourced setting. MethodsThe Adolescence and Motherhood Research project was conducted in a rural region of Northeast Brazil in 2017-2019 and assessed 50 primigravids between 13-18 years (adolescents) and 50 primigravids between 23-28 years (young adults) during the first 16 weeks of pregnancy with two follow-ups (third trimester of pregnancy, and 4-6 weeks postpartum). Recruitment strategies involved engagement of health sector and community, as well as referrals from health care professionals and dissemination of the project in different locations. Retention strategies included maintaining contact with the participants between assessments and providing transportation for them to attend the follow-up procedures. ResultsRecruitment took 10 months to complete. A total of 78% of the participants were recruited from the primary health care units, mainly after referral from a health care provider. Retention reached 95% of the sample throughout the study (90%: adolescents; 98%: adults). ConclusionA combination of approaches is necessary to successfully recruit and retain youth in longitudinal studies and engaging local stakeholders may help to increase community-perceived legitimacy of the research. Working closely with front-line staff is essential when conducting research in rural low-income communities.

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Adherence in Monitoring of ART response and turnaround time of results as per HIV viral load testing guideline among people living with HIV in Dar es salaam Region.

Masegese, T.; MUNG'ONG'O, G. S.; Kamala, B.; Anaeli, A.; Bago, M.; Mtoro, M. J.

2026-04-16 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350908 medRxiv
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Background: HIV/AIDS remains a major public health challenge in Tanzania, where viral load suppression among adults on ART stands at 78% and HVL testing uptake among eligible patients is approximately 22%. Since the introduction of the National HVL Testing Guideline in 2015, little has been done to systematically evaluate its implementation. Objective: To evaluate adherence to the National HVL Testing Guideline across CTC clinics in Dar es Salaam Region, covering ART monitoring, documentation, turnaround time, and factors affecting implementation. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted in 2021 across 15 public health facilities with CTC clinics in all five Dar es Salaam districts. A total of 330 PLHIV on ART for more than six months were selected through systematic random sampling with proportional to size allocation, and 45 healthcare providers through convenient sampling. Data were collected via abstraction forms and self-administered questionnaires, and analysed using SPSS Version 23 with descriptive statistics, bivariate analysis, and binary logistic regression. Results: Only 25.1% of patients had their first HVL sample taken at six months as per guideline, with 68.8% delayed beyond six months. Second and third samples were similarly delayed. MoHCDGEC sample tracking forms were absent in 96.7% of facilities and incomplete in 99.1%, and no facility captured specimen acceptance or rejection as site feedback. Turnaround time exceeded the 14-day guideline threshold in 64.5%, 66.7%, and 69.4% of first, second, and third results respectively. Patient negligence (AOR=9.84; 95% CI: 1.83-52.77) and storage (AOR=5.72; 95% CI: 0.94-35.0) were independently associated with guideline adherence. Conclusion: Adherence to the National HVL Testing Guideline in Dar es Salaam is suboptimal across testing timelines, documentation, and turnaround time, with patient negligence and storage capacity as significant determinants. Targeted interventions are needed to strengthen patient education, improve storage infrastructure, enhance documentation systems, and support providers in adhering to guideline-specified timelines.

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Female genital cutting and maternal attitudes about it: Testing a cultural disempowerment hypothesis

Strand, P. S.; Trang, J. C.

2026-04-16 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350909 medRxiv
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Female genital cutting (FGC) is identified within global health and human rights discourse as aligned with gender inequality and female disempowerment. The persistence of FGC in high-prevalence societies is assumed to reflect womens limited influence over decisions concerning their daughters. Yet anthropological research has questioned whether this interpretation adequately reflects how FGC is organized within practicing communities. Across two studies with 176,728 participants from 15 African and Asian countries, we examine whether mothers attitudes toward FGC predict daughters circumcision status and whether this relationship varies with regional FGC prevalence. Multilevel logistic regression models show that maternal attitudes strongly predict daughter circumcision status across both datasets. Contrary to expectations derived from disempowerment frameworks, the association between maternal attitudes and daughter outcomes is not weaker in high-prevalence contexts, it is stronger. These findings suggest that interpretations of FGC as reflecting female disempowerment may mischaracterize the social dynamics of societies in which FGC is common. Policy implications of the findings are discussed.

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Baseline Assessment of Drug-Drug Interaction Knowledge Among Healthcare Providers in Kibaha, Tanzania

Salim, A.; Allen, M.; Mariki, K.; Pallangyo, T.; Maina, R.; Mzee, F.; Minja, M.; Msovela, K.; Liana, J.

2026-04-16 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.11.26350082 medRxiv
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In the context of global health, the ability of frontline primary health providers to identify potential Drug-Drug Interactions (DDIs) is a critical component of patient safety. This is particularly true in settings like Tanzania, where drug dispensers often serve as the primary point of contact for healthcare. In this study, we establish a baseline for drug decision-making capabilities across multiple cadres of healthcare providers in Kibaha, Tanzania. We specifically distinguish between the ability to recognize safe drug combinations versus harmful ones. The findings reveal a critical asymmetry in provider performance: while professional training improves the recognition of safe combinations, it provides no advantage over lay intuition (and in some cases, a significant disadvantage) in detecting potentially harmful interactions.

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Accumulation of Benzalkonium Chloride from Disinfectants in Dust Associated with Increased Microbial Tolerance

Yu, J.; Tillema, S.; Akel, M.; Aron, A.; Espinosa, E.; Fisher, S. A.; Branche, T. N.; Mithal, L. B.; Hartmann, E. M.

2026-04-16 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350823 medRxiv
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Benzalkonium chloride (BAC) is widely used as a disinfectant in cleaning products and is frequently detected in indoor dust. In this study, we assessed dust samples, along with information on cleaning product use, from 24 pregnant participants. Dust samples were analyzed for BAC concentration and microbial tolerance. Different chain lengths of BAC (C12, C14, and C16) were quantified using LC-MS/MS, and bacterial isolates were tested for BAC tolerance using minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) assays. BAC was ubiquitously detected, with C12 and C14 being dominant. Higher BAC concentrations were associated with reported disinfectant use and increased microbial tolerance. These findings suggest that indoor antimicrobial use may promote microbial resistance, highlighting potential exposure risks in indoor environments and the need for further investigation into health and ecological impacts.

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Strengthening School Water, Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH) Programme Implementation: Evidence from Expert Consensus in Uasin Gishu County, Kenya

SERONEY, G. C.; Magak, N. A. G.; Mchunu, G. G.

2026-04-16 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350916 medRxiv
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Introduction Access to safe water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) in schools is critical for child health, learning, and gender equity. In Kenya, the Kenya School Health Policy and the Basic Education Act outline standards for school WASH; however, implementation remains uneven due to inadequate infrastructure, weak inter-sectoral coordination, and limited financing. This study aimed to identify priority components for strengthening school WASH implementation and generate policy-relevant recommendations based on expert consensus in Uasin Gishu County, Kenya. Methods and Results A Delphi technique consisting of two iterative rounds was used to reach expert consensus. In Round 1, 20 purposively selected experts including head teachers, county education officials, public health officers, water and public works officers, and NGO representatives participated in key informant interviews. Emergent themes informed development of a structured Round 2 questionnaire administered through CommCare online app. Quantitative data were analyzed using descriptive statistics (means, standard deviations, percentage agreement), while qualitative responses underwent thematic coding using NVivo 12. Experts reached strong consensus on essential components required for strengthening school WASH implementation. Key priorities included clear governance structures, designated budget lines, inclusive infrastructure, menstrual hygiene management (MHM), curriculum integration, sustained capacity building, and systematic monitoring. Multi-sectoral collaboration and recognition of best-performing schools were also emphasized as important motivators for compliance and sustainability. Equity considerations particularly the need for disability-friendly facilities and school-community outreach were highlighted as critical. Agreement levels ranged from 74% to 100%, with most items scoring mean values between 4.5 and 4.8 on a 5-point Likert scale, indicating strong consensus among experts. Conclusion strengthening implementation of school WASH in Kenya requires coordinated governance, predictable funding, reliable water systems, inclusive sanitation, strengthened MHM, and consistent monitoring beyond infrastructure investment alone. Integrating these expert-validated priorities within existing national policies offers a practical pathway to improving learner health, reducing absenteeism especially among girls and promoting equitable educational outcomes.

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Digital Health and Data Utilisation for Improved Primary Health Services Delivery: Multi-Site Perspectives from Quality Improvement Teams in Council Hospitals in Tanzania

Matimo, C. R.; Kacholi, G.; Mollel, H. A.

2026-04-17 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350674 medRxiv
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BackgroundDigital health plays an indispensable role in facilitating data analysis and use for enhancing healthcare delivery across health settings. However, there is scant information on the extent to which digital health influences the improvement of primary health services delivery through data use. This study examined the determinants that influence the use of digital health to improve health service delivery in council hospitals in Tanzania. MethodsA cross-sectional design was employed in six regions, involving 12 council hospitals. We used a self-administered questionnaire to collect data from 203 members of hospital quality improvement teams. Descriptive analysis was used to determine the frequency, proportion, and mean of responses, while bootstrapping analysis was conducted to test the statistically significant influence of digital health factors on data use for improving health service delivery. ResultsResults show moderate agreement on data compatibility for planning and decision-making, with 40.4% of respondents agreeing it supports ordering commodities, 43.8% for staff allocation, and 38.4% for planning. However, dissatisfaction was higher for user-friendliness (47.8%), reliability (up to 65.5%), and usefulness (up to 63.5%). Overall, 50.2% (M=2.74{+/-}0.87) disagreed that digital systems effectively support data use. Structural model analysis confirmed significant positive influence of usefulness ({beta}=0.199, p<0.001) and access to quality data ({beta}=0.729, p<0.001) on data use, which strongly impacted service delivery ({beta}=0.593, p<0.001), despite some factors showing no direct influence. ConclusionThe study finds that current digital health initiatives only modestly improve the user-friendliness, reliability, and usefulness of data systems, partly due to fragmented, non-interoperable platforms that burden data management. However, compatibility, usability, reliability, and usefulness of digital tools significantly enhance access to quality data and data-driven decisions. The study recommends strengthening and integrating existing systems and providing continuous digital health training to institutionalize data-informed decision-making.

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Evaluating the impact of school-based interventions on youth loneliness: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Sticpewich, L.; Stuttard, H.; Bu, F.; Fancourt, D.; Hayes, D.

2026-04-16 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.15.26349177 medRxiv
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Aims: Youth loneliness is a prevalent global health concern with lifelong health ramifications. Schools, as children's primary peer environments, are promising settings for loneliness interventions. However, school-based interventions are highly heterogeneous and no review to date has evaluated their effect on loneliness specifically. Methods: A systematic review was conducted to identify studies of school-based interventions measuring loneliness as an outcome in children and young people aged up to 18. Meta-analyses were conducted using a random-effects model to pool effect sizes and examine the significance of intervention characteristics and study design. Reported implementation factors were extracted and narratively synthesised. Results: Thirty-eight studies were included in meta-analysis, of which 19 were randomized controlled trials, ten were non-randomized controlled, and nine were single group studies. A small-to-moderate effect estimate was found, Hedges' g = -0.42 [95% CI: -0.71, -0.13], p = .006, and sub-group analyses indicated that differences in study design and quality did not result in significantly different effect estimates. Psychological interventions, followed by social and emotional skills training, produced significantly higher effects estimates compared with other intervention types. Conclusions: Findings indicate that school-based interventions are effective in reducing youth loneliness. However, study heterogeneity, reporting inconsistencies, and a wide prediction interval indicates this finding should be interpreted with caution. Future research may benefit from improved measurement and reporting of implementation factors, particularly dosage and fidelity.